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21-Feb-2017 06:09

If you could only see them all together at the same time, you’d have no problem picking out the best. And as with most casino games, there’s a strong element of chance, but you can also understand and improve your probability of "winning" the best partner.

But this isn't how a lifetime of dating works, obviously. The other problem is that once you reject a suitor, you often can’t go back to them later. It turns out there is a pretty striking solution to increase your odds. To have the highest chance of picking the very best suitor, you should date and reject the first 37 percent of your total group of lifetime suitors.

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Wait too long to commit, and all the good ones might be gone.

The diagram below compares your success rate for selecting randomly among three suitors.

Each suitor is in their own box and is ranked by their quality (1st is best, 3rd is worst).

One problem is the suitors arrive in a random order, and you don’t know how your current suitor compares to those who will arrive in the future. (If you're into math, it’s actually 1/e, which comes out to 0.368, or 36.8 percent.) Then you follow a simple rule: You pick the next person who is better than anyone you’ve ever dated before.

To apply this to real life, you’d have to know how many suitors you could potentially have or want to have — which is impossible to know for sure.

Wait too long to commit, and all the good ones might be gone.The diagram below compares your success rate for selecting randomly among three suitors.Each suitor is in their own box and is ranked by their quality (1st is best, 3rd is worst).One problem is the suitors arrive in a random order, and you don’t know how your current suitor compares to those who will arrive in the future. (If you're into math, it’s actually 1/e, which comes out to 0.368, or 36.8 percent.) Then you follow a simple rule: You pick the next person who is better than anyone you’ve ever dated before.To apply this to real life, you’d have to know how many suitors you could potentially have or want to have — which is impossible to know for sure.The logic is easier to see if you walk through smaller examples.